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Market

How the NFL market moves against the spread — the same for everyone.

Where the market bends

Across 113 games in 2026, the widest situational bend is 16.7 points off a coin flip.

  • Divisional favs
    n=16
    33.3%
  • Huge favs (10+)
    n=11
    36.4%
  • Primetime favs
    n=48
    43.8%
  • Road favorites
    n=53
    55.8%
  • Home favorites
    n=60
    44.8%
  • Small favs (1–3)
    n=34
    54.5%
Dogs cover Favs cover
Team ATS records

2026 · descriptive records against the closing spread, based on 113 scored games with a line. Open a team for its home/away and favorite/underdog splits.